Good morning, Kwang.
Pressing diligence items
!
2024 audited financials missing
Blocks the cohort model — Lumina's CFO is 9 days late.
Critical
C
Customer concentration risk
Top 3 customers = 47% of ARR; Acme Health alone is 24%.
Critical
T
CTO call needs prep questions
Tech diligence outstanding ahead of the May 1 CTO call.
High
Where the project stands
Open full plan →Phase 1 · Data Room Access
Master NDA signed
All 12 folders accessed (Datasite)
Document retention schedule confirmed
Phase 2 · Financial Review
Historical P&L analyzed (2021-2023)
Preliminary cohort analysis
2024 audited financials
LTV/CAC by cohort model
Phase 3 · Management Calls
CEO call · Vision & growth thesis
CFO call · Financials & unit economics
CRO call · Sales motion & pipeline
CTO call · Tech architecture & debt
Head of Sales call · Pipeline conversion deep-dive
Phase 4 · Customer References
Reference: Acme Health (top customer · 24% ARR)
Reference: Cardinal Practice Group
3 reference calls outstanding · independent (not Lumina-supplied)
Phase 5 · IC Memo Prep
IC memo outline drafted
Executive summary section
Financial section
Comparables analysis (10 healthtech SaaS)
Phase 6 · Term Sheet
Gates on IC approval
Target KPIs · Lumina Health Systems
Annual Recurring Revenue
$42M
↑ 22% YoY
Net Revenue Retention
113%
Healthy
Customer Concentration
47%
Top 3 = 47% (RISK)
Rule of 40
31%
Below 40 threshold
Lumina ARR Bridge · 2023 → 2024 Fid 86
Open →$34.4M → $42.0M · waterfall
Lumina ARR Trend · 8 Quarters Fid 89
Open →vs peer-set median · +22% YoY
LuminaPeer-set median
Customer Concentration Fid 98
Open →Top customers as % of ARR · click any
Acme Health
24%
Cardinal Practice Group
13%
Meridian Health
10%
Top 4-10 customers
19%
Long tail (74 customers)
34%
Top 3 = 47% of ARR. Material concentration risk — needs valuation adjustment in IC memo
Lumina Cohort Retention · By Half Fid 78
Open →% of customers still on platform · click any cell
M0
M6
M12
M18
M24
M36
2021 H2
100
94
88
82
76
71
2022 H1
100
93
87
82
78
—
2022 H2
100
95
89
84
—
—
2023 H1
100
96
91
—
—
—
2023 H2
100
97
—
—
—
—
Logo retention trending UP cohort-over-cohort — recent cohorts retaining better (96% M6 vs 94% in 2021)